دانلود رایگان مقاله لاتین پیش بینی شناسایی چرخه کسب و کار از سایت الزویر
عنوان فارسی مقاله:
پیش بینی شناسایی و زمان واقعی چرخه کسب و کار نروژی
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles
سال انتشار : 2016
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بخشی از مقاله انگلیسی:
2. Business cycle dating approaches
of the trend growth is at its highest at the end of the time series for commonly used two-sided filters. Classical business cycles in the US are defined by NBER. The dating committee decides when turning points occur, i.e., the months in which recessions start and end. Decisions are made by deliberation based on available data, and hence, announcements of turning points are not very timely. The December 2007 peak was announced on December 1, 2008, and the following June 2009 trough was announced on September 20, 2010. The dating of the turning points is normally not revised. Following Burns and Mitchell (1946), we define business cycles as fluctuations in aggregate economic activity. This is the classical business cycle, characterized by peaks and troughs and describing developments in the level of economic activity across many sectors. An alternative concept is the growth cycle, where economic fluctuations are characterized as being above or below an unobservable trend. One attractive feature of the classical business cycle is that it is not necessary to estimate an unobserved trend. This is particularly important when it comes to forecasting turning points, since the uncertainty in the measurement
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کلمات کلیدی:
Identification and Real-Time Forecasting of Norwegian Business ... https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2616800 by KA Aastveit - 2015 - Cited by 5 - Related articles Jun 10, 2015 - We define and forecast classical business cycle turning points for the Norwegian economy. When defining reference business cycles, we ... Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian ... - SSRN papers https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=2616800 by KA Aastveit - 2015 - Cited by 5 - Related articles May 8, 2015 - Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2616800. Identification and real-time forecasting of. Norwegian business cycles. NORGES ... Identification and Real-Time Forecasting of ... - ResearchGate https://www.researchgate.net/.../314481216_Identification_and_Real-Time_Forecasting_... Identification and Real-Time Forecasting of Norwegian Business Cycles on ResearchGate, the professional network for scientists. Real-Time Identification and Forecasting of Chaotic Time Series Using ... link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F3-540-32502-6_16 by Y Bodyanskiy - 2006 - Cited by 4 - Related articles Abstract. In this chapter, the problems of identification, modeling, and forecasting of chaotic signals are discussed. These problems are solved with the use of the ... Site-specific, real-time forecasting system - IEEE Xplore Document ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/608274/ by M El-Tahan - 1997 RadarLink will use the resulting real time stream of data to promote the ... system where sophisticated algorithms provide prediction and forecasting information ... [PDF]Professional Forecasters and the Real-Time Forecasting Performance ... https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1571.pdf?... Abstract: This paper analyses the real-time forecasting performance of the New ..... to overcome the identification problem raised by Chari, Kehoe, and ... Flood Risk Management: Research and Practice: Extended Abstracts ... https://books.google.com/books?isbn=0203883020 Paul Samuels, Stephen Huntington, William Allsop - 2008 - Science real-time. forecasting. of. water. levels. in. the. river. Eden. catchment,. UK ... Following the initial model identification and parameter estimation process, the ...
