دانلود رایگان مقاله لاتین نظارت بر فناوری در حال توسعه از سایت الزویر


عنوان فارسی مقاله:

نظارت بر فناوری های در حال ظهور برای برنامه ریزی فناوری با استفاده از کلمه کلیدی فنی مبتنی بر تجزیه و تحلیل داده های دارای حق انحصاری


عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:

Monitoring emerging technologies for technology planning using technical keyword based analysis from patent data


سال انتشار : 2016



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بخشی از مقاله انگلیسی:


3. Proposed method 

3.1. Overall research process The overall process to monitor emerging technologies is as follows (Fig. 2). (1) Domain technology patents are collected from the USPTO database, and Alchemy™ is used to extract technical keyword candidates from their contents. (2) Extracted keywords are assessed using a TF-IDF function, and technical keywords are automatically identified. (3) Relatedness between keywords is quantified using the concept of distributional similarity. (4) Given that the process of identifying relatedness can attain semantic processing, a dissimilarity matrix is constructed by comparing patent documents. (5) Agglomerative clustering is used for keyword trend analysis; emerging technologies are discovered by analyzing the clustering results. 3.2. Definition of emerging technologies Emerging technology is characterized by radical novelty, relatively fast growth, coherence, prominent impact, and uncertainty (Rotolo et al., 2015). A technology of radical novelty indicates “novelty (or newness)” (Small et al., 2014) or that a new idea is built on different basic principles than are existing methods (Arthur, 2007). A technology of relatively fast growth has “clockspeed nature” (Srinivasan, 2008) or is likely to produce an increasing number of number of papers (e.g. publications, patents) over time. A technology of coherence means “convergence of previously separated research streams” (Day and Schoemaker, 2000) or “has already moved beyond the purely conceptual stage” (Stahl, 2011). A technology of prominent impact “creates a new industry or transforms existing ones” (Day and Schoemaker, 2000) or “exerts much enhanced economic influence” (Porter et al., 2002). A technology of uncertainty involves ambiguity regarding potential applications of the technology (Stirling, 2007). Emerging technology is likely to pass through three phases (e.g., pre-emergence, emergence, post-emergence) that are characterized by the above attributes (Rotolo et al., 2015) (Fig. 3). During the pre-emergence phase, a technology has high levels of radical novelty and uncertainty, but low levels of growth rate, coherence, and prominent impact. During the emergence phase, the technology may show moderate relatively fast growth, coherence, and prominent impact; as a consequence, during the post-emergence phase, the technology reaches low levels of radical novelty and uncertainty. This study focuses on the emergence phase that has features of both adequate radical novelty and coherence. These emerging technologies have a high probability to become the mainstream of the market. Therefore, this paper identifies these emerging technologies by using clustering analysis to capture coherence, and keyword trend analysis to recognize radical novelty.



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کلمات کلیدی:

Emerging technology intelligence: scanning and monitoring for ... https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/17861 by EM Brockley - ‎2004 - ‎Cited by 2 - ‎Related articles In recent years we have seen a confluence of science and technology that portends great impact to business strategy and product development. Just as ... Emerging technologies - European Schoolnet www.eun.org/observatory/trends/emerging-technologies Gartner's "Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies" is a useful way of monitoring emerging technologies and separating the hype from the reality – particularly ... Gartner's 2015 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Identifies the ... www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/3114217 Aug 18, 2015 - Gartner's 2015 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Identifies the Computing Innovations That Organizations Should Monitor. 2015 Hype ... How emerging technologies can monitor environment, prevent disasters https://phys.org › Technology › Engineering Jun 30, 2015 - Their goal was to show how emerging technologies can help ... of the river to monitor its quality in real time," says University of Toronto PhD ... Sensors and Other Emerging Technologies (2016 NAAMC) | Ambient ... https://www.epa.gov/amtic/sensors-and-other-emerging-technologies-2016-naamc Oct 21, 2016 - Sensors and Other Emerging Technologies (2016 NAAMC). Presentations on sensors and other next generation air monitoring covered in this ...