دانلود رایگان مقاله لاتین متغیر دلار در مقابل نرخ از سایت الزویر
عنوان فارسی مقاله:
متغیرها در دلار در مقابل در نرخ: مورد بازخورد بازار در مذاکرات ادغام
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Variables in dollar terms versus in rate terms: The case of market feedback on merger negotiation
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مقدمه انگلیسی مقاله:
1. Introduction
How do takeover bidders react to the market feedback on merger negotiations? Do they have to pay higher takeover costs if the target stock prices experience substantial pre-offer runups? In a seminal study, Schwert (1996) reports that in a large sample of takeovers, bidding firms markup their offers almost equal to the runups. This finding implies that markup pricing prevails in the competition for corporate control (see also Betton, Espen Eckbo, and Thorburn (2008)). Recently, Betton, Espen Eckbo, Thompson and Thorburn (2014, BETT hereafter) develop an empirically testable model of takeover that permits stock market feedback on takeover rumors.1 The model assumes that the information of takeover negotiations is leaked in the form of rumors which send a signal to the market of the ongoing negotiations. An important insight generated by the model is that takeover rumors or signals reveal the information of “both the deal probability and the deal-specific takeover synergies conditional on a bid.” Rational investors use the signal “to update not only the takeover probability but also the conditional value” of synergies. With this endogenous deal probability, the bidders have different offering strategies depending on whether the market is operating under rational deal anticipation or there is a costly feedback loop in the takeover negotiations. The model predicts that in a linear regression of takeover markup on runup, the slope coef- ficient is greater than −1 under rational deal anticipation. However, the coefficient is strictly positive if there is a costly feedback loop from takeover runup to markup. BETT conducts a thorough and solid empirical analysis to test the two competing hypotheses. Based on the negative slope coefficients of their linear regressions, the authors claim that their empirical results support the hypothesis of rational deal anticipation and reject that of a costly feedback loop. This paper is concerned by the lack of connection between the theory and the empirical tests in BETT. The theoretical predictions made by the takeover model are based on markup and runup in terms of dollar values, whereas the various empirical tests conducted by BETT use the rates of markup and runup. We argue that the relationship between markup and runup in dollar terms is different from that between the rates of markup and runup. To this end, we establish, under the BETT framework, that the slope coefficient of a linear regression of the markup rate against the runup rate can be negative under both the
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کلمات کلیدی:
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