دانلود رایگان مقاله لاتین دلفی فضایی از سایت الزویر
عنوان فارسی مقاله:
دلفی فضایی، دلفی زمان واقعی، هماهنگی جغرافیایی
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Real Time Spatial Delphi: Fast convergence of experts' opinions on the territory
222222
برای دانلود رایگان مقاله دلفی فضایی اینجا کلیک نمایید.
بخشی از مقاله انگلیسی:
2. The Real Time Delphi and the Spatial Delphi compared
In this section, we describe the main characteristics of the Real Time Delphi and the Spatial Delphi to highlight their strengths and weaknesses. From this comparative analysis will arise the methodological assumptions of the method that we propose, i.e., the Real Time Spatial Delphi. Since the early years of use of the Delphi method, despite its potential, it has emerged that the procedure is time-consuming and costly. Consequently, there were many attempts to use the Internet to speed up the Delphi process and reduce costs. Murray Turoff conducted an early experiment by linking experts in a network (Turoff, 1972); later, he designed a Social Decision Support System to allow a large group of people to vote and interact dynamically (Turoff et al., 2002). Important studies were conducted in Finland, resulting - in 2008 - in a system called eDelfoi. Significantly, in 2006, Theodore J. Gordon and Adam Pease developed the Real Time Delphi (Gordon and Pease, 2006), first as an open source program and then improved and largely used by the Millennium Project (a non-profit global participatory futures research think tank). In a RTD, each expert of a panel anonymously answers questions in an online questionnaire. For each question, he/she can also give written arguments and then, whenever he/she considers it appropriate, comes back to the study, seeing his/her original inputs. If in the meantime other experts have responded, some group statistics (i.e., number of responses, average, median or interquartile range) are displayed next to each question and new judgments and comments can be provided, in the light of the statistical synthesis of the group responses and the arguments. The experts can repeat the process, reassessing and adjusting their responses, as often as they want (Gordon, 2009; Gordon and Pease, 2006).
برای دانلود رایگان مقاله دلفی فضایی اینجا کلیک نمایید.
کلمات کلیدی:
PDF]Collection and Integration of Local Knowledge and Experience ... - MDPI www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/6/2/33/pdf by JD Castillo-Rosas - 2017 - Related articles Jan 24, 2017 - Experience through a Collective Spatial Analysis .... method [15,16], in combination with the Delphi method in real-time [17–20] and the Vector ... Real-Time Delphi - The Millennium Project www.millennium-project.org/millennium/RTD-general.html The Real-Time Delphi is a relatively new and efficient method for collecting and synthesizing expert opinions. The original Delphi technique was developed by ... [PDF]simone di zio - SCIENZE STATISTICHE - Unipd https://www.stat.unipd.it/sites/default/files/DIZIO_3marzo_mb.pdf Mar 3, 2016 - DELPHI AND DELPHI-LIKE METHODS: ... Spatial Delphi, the Spatial Shang and the Real Time Spatial Delphi are presented, together with ... GitHub - cmu-delphi/delphi-epidata: Documentation and sample code ... https://github.com/cmu-delphi/delphi-epidata This repo provides documentation and sample code for DELPHI's real-time ... Temporal Resolution: Weekly* from 1997w40; Spatial Resolution: National, HHS ... Sparrho | Real Time Spatial Delphi: Fast convergence of experts' opin https://www.sparrho.com/item/real-time-spatial-delphi-fast-convergence.../9c6ade/ Oct 5, 2016 - This new technique, called Real Time Spatial Delphi, preserves most of the advantages of both methods, minimizes the disadvantages, and ... Real-time Delphi - Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real-time_Delphi Real-time Delphi (RTD) is an advanced form of the Delphi method. The advanced method “is a consultative process that uses computer technology” to increase ...
