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عنوان فارسی مقاله:
پیش بینی سرمایه گذاری و ظرفیت اضافی در زیرساخت های فرودگاه هند: تجزیه و تحلیل پس از خصوصی سازی و پس از دوره تنظیم مقررات
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Forecasting investment and capacity addition in Indian airport infrastructure: Analysis from post-privatization and post-economic regulation era
سال انتشار : 2016
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بخشی از مقاله انگلیسی:
2. Review of literature
A smooth-functioning air transport sector offers significant economic development benefits, particularly for landlocked, isolated, and low population-density countries (The World Bank). The ever growing demand for air travel has put pressure on airports to enhance their capacity. Understandably, it is in order to continuously provide smooth service to passengers (Zou, Kafle, Chang,&Park, 2015). The increasing demand for aviation services has led to significant pressure on existing airport infrastructure (Gelhausen et al., 2013; Saldıraner, 2013). Airports are not only locations for transport activity, but also act as hubs of commercial infrastructure (Wells and Young, 2004), that in turn offers numerous opportunities to airport owners to explore the commercial space with resultant enhanced financial gains. Aviation is a driver of economic and social development of a country. The turnover of the Indian Aviation Sector today exceeds US$ 15.38 billion. Private sector has played an unprecedented role for developing the airport sector in the country (Damodaran, 2015). Air Transport can play a key role in economic development and in supporting long-term economic growth. It facilitates a country's integration into the global economy, thereby providing direct benefits for users. It also accrues wider economic benefits through its positive impact on productivity and economic performance (ATA). Since privatization there has been significant increased investment in Australian airports, with over $2.2 billion invested in new terminals, runways and other infrastructure at the leased federal airports (Australian Government, 2008). The “airport planning paradigm is shifting from the traditional pattern, being determined by high standards, established customers and long-term forecasts, to that of recognizing great uncertainty at forecasts, broad range standards and potential for a rapidly changing customer's base” (de Neufville, 2008; Magalhaes, Reis, & Maca'rio, 2015). Air transport demand forecasts of the aircraft industry and institutions like ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization) use the number of passenger kilometers, counted as revenue passenger kilometers (RPK), as a unit of demand (Gelhausen, Berster, & Wilken, 2013). The demand, as measured in RPK, grew even stronger than the number of passengers during the sixteen year period from 1994 to 2010; the demand more than doubled and increased with an average growth rate of 5%. Kasarda (2006) and Graham (2009) have a view that secondary business, such as, parking, retailing etc. in expanding airports has been increasingly evident. This is based on the fact that aircrafts evolved from its historical status as an innovative transport technology to an everyday transport mode (Stevens, 2006). In view of this the Australian Government recognizes the importance of continued investment in aeronautical infrastructure at airports, and is committed to ensuring infrastructure development (Australian Government, 2008). Crabtree et al. (2015) have forecasted that over the next 20 years, world air cargo traffic will grow by 4.7% per year; air freight, including express traffic, will average 4.8% annual growth measured in Revenue Tones Kilometers (RTKs); airmail traffic though will grow slowly, averaging 1.0% annual growth through 2033. In essence, world air cargo traffic is expected to increase from 207.8 billion RTKs in 2013 to 521.8 billion in 2033.
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کلمات کلیدی:
[PDF]Forecasting Airport Demand - International Transport Forum https://www.itf-oecd.org/sites/default/files/docs/15cspa_airports-forecasts.pdf Airline responses to additional runway capacity . ..... predicted to be faster traffic growth at Gatwick after investment in a new runway, as compared to what is. [PDF]Forecasting and Capacity Planning Assessment - Juniper Networks https://www.juniper.net/assets/cn/zh/local/pdf/datasheets/1000509-en.pdf optimizes investment without ... One such strategy is careful forecasting and capacity planning. .... Juniper Networks provides additional consulting services to. Energy Economics: Concepts, Issues, Markets and Governance https://books.google.com/books?isbn=0857292684 Subhes C. Bhattacharyya - 2011 - Business & Economics Based on the generation and network capacity expansion forecasts, the following range of investment requirements emerges: • IEA has estimated that India ... Modeling Flexibility in Stochastic Transportation Networks https://books.google.com/books?isbn=0549448667 Gopal R. Patil - 2007 Often it is required to forecast demand for 20 years or more. ... for a strategic investment in capacity addition called flexible network design problem (FNDP). Spot Pricing of Electricity - Page 96 - Google Books Result https://books.google.com/books?isbn=1461316839 Fred C. Schweppe, Michael C. Caramanis, Richard D. Tabors - 2013 - Business & Economics A Necessary Condition for Capital Investment Discussions now turn to how ... However, it does provide a basis for reasonable forecasts of future-year price ... of possible capital investments are o Add Storage Capacity: Addition of thermal, ... [PDF]Chapter 16 Long Term Development of Aviation in the Sydney Region https://assets.contentful.com/.../Chapter_16_Long_Term_Development_of_Aviation_i... traffic forecast published in the Joint Study on ... addition, the infrastructure capacity of Sydney ... The importance of investment in the capacity of Sydney. [PDF]Solar PV Capacity Addition Forecast for PJM States ... - PJM.com pjm.com/~/media/committees.../20151130-item-04-ihs-pjm-pv-forecast-report.ashx Nov 30, 2015 - Solar PV Capacity Additions Forecast for PJM States: Summary report ... The federal investment tax credit's (ITC) scheduled reversion to 10% at ...
